ObamaCare’s Negative Effect on the Economy

The White House just announced a second one year delay in the ObamaCare employer mandate. The chart below displays economic data that likely influenced last year’s decision to delay the employer mandate from 2014 to 2015, and the latest decision to further delay it until 2016 for a critical segment of the economy, medium sized […]

Headline Jobs Numbers Vs Real Life

Virtually all of the reduction in the official unemployment rate from the peak of 10% in 2009 to the current 7.3% is due to reclassifying jobless people from “unemployed” to “not in the labor force.” The latest jobs report didn’t get much attention as the political-media establishment obsessed over Syria.  The day it was published […]

No Thumbs Up for the July Jobs Report

Historic deterioration of the labor market makes monthly jobs numbers meaningless. The unemployment rate is misleading because millions of jobless people are not counted.  The number-of-jobs-created headline is misleading because of an unprecedented increase in part time employment.  When the latest jobs report was published the White House guided headline writers with this spin from […]

Stubborn Refusal to Acknowledge Economic Reality

The Commerce Department has issued its Economic report for the second quarter.  Gross Domestic Product or GDP increased by an anemic 1.7%.  First quarter GDP, which had already been revised downward from the initially reported 2.5% to 1.8% was further downgraded to 1.1%. Over at the White House web site Alan Kruger, the President’s chief […]

Obama’s Phony Economics

President Obama’s much hyped Big Economic Speeches were largely a rerun of his standard campaign speech, complete with the usual, bitter attacks on House Republicans and misleading or false claims of economic success including: Over the past 39 months, our businesses have created 7.2 million new jobs. The President hopes you’ll perceive this number as […]

First Quarter GDP Downgraded

The Commerce Department just downgraded America’s GDP growth during the first quarter of this year from the anemic 2.5% initially reported back in April to an alarmingly low 1.8%.  For context consider that average quarterly GDP growth during all non-recession periods from 1947 when quarterly GDP reporting began, through  2007 was 4.4%.  The chart below […]

Hidden Context Around Headline Job Numbers

The Labor Department announced that employers created 175,000 jobs in May.  Alan Kruger, Chairman of the President’s Council of economic Advisers, gave us the White House’s upbeat spin: Today’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicates that private sector businesses added 178,000 jobs last month. Total non-farm payroll employment rose by 175,000 jobs in […]

The Jobs Crisis and Baby Boomer Retirements

The gradual decline in the unemployment rate over the past 4 years does not reflect rising prosperity.  It is a statistical deception, due entirely to a shrinking labor force. The Labor Department’s Jobs report for the month of April once again called attention to the alarming drop in what statisticians call the “labor force participation […]

Theory Behind ObanaNomics is a Proven Hoax

Rarely has there been a better opportunity to judge the validity of economic ideas than the last four, miserable years.  We have experienced in real time an audacious experiment, testing the theory of economist and progressive hero John Maynard Keynes that the government can buy prosperity by spending enormous amounts of borrowed money and the […]

Revised GDP Report Confirms Failure

During his first two years, with the support of commanding Democratic Party majorities in Congress, President Obama placed the biggest bet in US history on centralized government power.  The People lost.  We’re still losing. The Commerce Department just published its final revision of the 4th quarter 2012 GDP growth rate.  From October through December the […]

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